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Two Years, No Fuel, No Regrets - What Really Happened When My Family Switched to EVs

Published on 16th March 2026 by Simon Fearby

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After two years and thirty thousand kilometres of fuel-free driving, here's an honest look at what it really costs when your regional Australian family makes the switch to electric.

I have a Tesla Model Y Long Range 2023, My wife has a BYD Shark 6 (Electric Drive Train with Electric Generator) and fast swill be drawn from this and other family and friends EV experience. This is my opinion only, do fact check and run your own numbers before buying an EV.

Before the purchase

Before I switched to an EV, I did much research. EVs in regional Australia where I live were not very common.

I spent too much time on Reddit and YouTube consuming information. If you do one thing check out https://www.youtube.com/@bjornnyland/videos. He has so many video on testing Electric cars it is mind boggling.

Family and friends were saying things like...

0 to 3 Months Experience

If you are thinking of getting an EV or PHEV you will need to use Plugshare and ABRP to compliment your cars navigation and route planning.

Do not be like me on our first long road trip over planning on paper

Plugshare map print out

If I had my time again, I would have just use ABRP and not over planned.

ABRP Route

6 ~ 12 Months

In the first 6 to 12 months I was still concerned about charging on long trips

I carried all the charging adapters for the worse case scenario

Frunk Conmtents

12 Months ~ 2 years.

After 12 months I sold my unused 3 phase adapters, caravan camping charging plugs and learned to trust the cars navigation and head off on long trips with no hesitation.

I was comfortable with the car doing the maths and saying when I needed to stop and take a break and charge.

My only adviced is to enter your destination into your cars navigation screen before long trips (BYD and Tesla navigation works well) and trust the car.

BYD Range

The last 2 years have been great. Our Tesla has been no troubles and my wife got a BYD Shark 6 and has not used a drop of fuel in the last few months.

.



The Facts

I see you are still reading, congratulations. Here ware some facts EV haters will deny.

Battery Degradation

Tesla batteries degrade slower than most early EV sceptics predicted. Real-world data from the Tesla community and Teslarati tracking shows most Model Y and Model 3 batteries retain around 90% capacity after 100,000km, with degradation slowing significantly after the first year. The LFP chemistry used in Standard Range variants degrades even less over time.

Replacement Cost (Worst Case)

A full Tesla battery replacement in Australia currently runs approximately $10,000–$20,000 AUD depending on the model and pack size - but this is increasingly a theoretical figure for most owners. The Tesla battery warranty covers 8 years or 240,000km (whichever comes first) for Long Range models, guaranteeing at least 70% retention - so early replacement is rarely a real-world cost.

The average yearly maintenance cost of a Petrol car is $900/y or $9000 in 10 years (and that is on the low side.). If petrol was $1.8 a litre (currently $2.55 a litre) over 10 years if you filled up 50 litres every 2 weeks that's $23,000 in 10 years.

I'd rather had a electric car and wait an extra 5 to 10 minutes public charging on long trips if degradation took away 50km range in 100,000km time before replacing the battery (or charge at home.

EV Battery Technology: It's Not Just About NCM Anymore

One of the biggest myths around EVs is that all batteries are created equal - or that early battery concerns still apply today. Battery chemistry has moved fast. Here's a plain-English rundown of where things are at.

LFP (Lithium Iron Phosphate)

LFP has gone from the "budget option" to the dominant global EV battery chemistry. In 2025, LFP deployments overtook traditional nickel-based (NCM) chemistries for the first time globally, driven by lower cost, longer cycle life, and significantly better thermal safety. LFP batteries use iron and phosphate - widely available, cheap materials - instead of cobalt and nickel, which carry both cost and ethical supply chain baggage. Tesla, Ford and BYD have all moved to LFP for their mainstream EV models because it's safer, degrades slower, and can be charged to 100% daily without the same wear issues as NCM. The IEA's Global EV Outlook 2025 confirms LFP's growing dominance as the go-to chemistry for mass-market EVs.

BYD Blade Battery

BYD's Blade Battery is a clever structural evolution of LFP. Instead of traditional rectangular cells, long flat "blade" shaped cells are packed directly into the battery pack, increasing space utilisation by over 50% and dramatically improving heat dissipation. In the nail penetration test - the harshest battery safety benchmark - the Blade Battery produced no fire or smoke, with surface temperatures reaching only 30–60°C compared to over 500°C for a typical NCM battery under the same conditions. BYD just launched Blade Battery 2.0 in March 2026, with energy density of 190–210 Wh/kg, support for 8C ultra-fast charging (10–80% in 10 minutes), and over 3,000 charge cycles - making the "EV batteries wear out fast" argument increasingly outdated.

Sodium-Ion

Sodium-ion batteries use sodium - essentially the same element found in table salt - instead of lithium. This means no lithium, no cobalt, no nickel, and no geopolitical supply chain anxiety. CATL, the world's largest battery maker, launched its sodium-ion brand Naxtra in 2025 and confirmed large-scale deployment across passenger vehicles and energy storage in 2026. The Naxtra battery operates across a temperature range of –40°C to 70°C - a significant advantage over LFP in cold climates. The world's first mass-produced sodium-ion EV debuted in February 2026, the Changan Nevo A06, using a 45 kWh sodium-ion pack with around 400 km of real-world range. MIT Technology Review named sodium-ion batteries one of its 10 Breakthrough Technologies for 2026. Sodium-ion won't replace LFP overnight, but it's a meaningful step toward batteries that are cheaper, safer, and completely free of lithium supply chain risk.

Solid-State - The One to Watch (With Honest Caveats)

Solid-state batteries replace liquid electrolytes with a solid material, theoretically unlocking higher energy density, faster charging, longer cycle life, and no fire risk. Finnish startup Donut Lab made waves at CES 2026 by claiming the world's first production-ready all-solid-state battery, with specs that sound remarkable: 400 Wh/kg energy density, 5-minute full charge, 100,000-cycle lifespan, and operation from –30°C to 100°C. The technology is being deployed in 2026 Verge Motorcycles starting Q1 2026.

The honest caveat: MIT Technology Review and independent battery scientists have raised legitimate questions about Donut Lab's extraordinary claims, noting that key metrics like energy density and cycle life remain independently unverified. Donut Lab is running a transparency campaign called "I Donut Believe" releasing third-party test results from VTT Technical Research Centre of Finland - two tests published so far show promising high-temperature and fast-charging performance, but the biggest claims are still unproven at scale. Meanwhile, established players like Toyota, CATL, Samsung SDI and BYD are all targeting 2027 or later for their own solid-state production - which gives some perspective on how bold Donut Lab's "available now" claim actually is. Worth watching, but healthy scepticism is warranted.

The Big Picture

Battery technology in 2026 looks nothing like 2015 EV batteries. The chemistry is safer, the supply chains are cleaner, the cycle life is longer, and the cost trajectory is firmly downward. The "EV battery will die in 5 years" talking point was always weak - it's now essentially obsolete.

Battery Recycling

Tesla operates its own battery recycling program. According to Tesla's Impact Report, they target zero battery landfill and reclaim materials including lithium, cobalt, nickel and copper for reuse. Third party recyclers like Redwood Materials (founded by Tesla's former CTO JB Straubel) are also scaling battery recycling infrastructure significantly.

Recycling infrastructure is still maturing, and full closed-loop recycling at scale is still a work in progress industry-wide - not just Tesla. But the trajectory is strongly in the right direction, and it compares favourably to the ongoing extraction and refining costs of petrol which has no recycling story whatsoever.

What Happens to an EV Battery at End of Life? Black Mass, Second Life & Residual Value

One question that rarely gets a straight answer in EV vs petrol debates is: what actually happens to the battery when the car is done? The honest answer is that an end-of-life EV battery is not waste - it is a valuable resource with two distinct phases of remaining value before the raw materials are eventually recovered.

Range

When my Tesla was new I would see about 108 km range per 20% charge, now I see about 103KM range per 20% charge. A slight drop, The car had a buffer from the factory and tthe drop si in line with degredation predictions

Australian (NSW) Grid Statistics

During daylight hours the Australian NEM regularly runs at 70–85%+ renewables, driven by rooftop and utility solar.

During the day and night combined, the Australian NEM grid averaged around ~50% renewables in Q4 2025, up from 37% in 2024, and is on track for 82% by 2030.

Every year the grid gets greener, every EV on the road automatically gets cleaner - a petrol car never improves.

NSW grid at 12:30 PM, 15 March 2026 - 83.3% renewable, emission intensity just 204 kgCO₂e/MWh, wholesale price negative $7.84/MWh. This is when I charge.

Electricity Generation

Read more about how my car communicates with Origin Energy to ensure power is obtained at 8c kW and not at peak demand times: Automated Tesla charging at home for 8c per kWh via Origin Energy

EV owners who charge during the day - including via the upcoming Solar Sharer free window from July 2026 - are effectively charging on near-renewable power. See live NEM data at Open Electricity.

Lifecycle and emissions data based on Australian conditions. NSW grid data recorded at 12:30 PM 15 March 2026 showed 83.3% renewables with an emission intensity of just 204 kgCO₂e/MWh - typical of daytime solar hours. See live data at Open Electricity NSW.

EV vs Petrol Car: Full Cradle-to-Grave Emissions Comparison

This is a fully loaded, honest comparison - it includes every CO₂ cost we can quantify: manufacturing the vehicles, manufacturing solar panels and wind turbines that generate the electricity, the full petrol upstream supply chain from crude extraction through refining and distribution, and end-of-life disposal. Most published comparisons omit several of these. We've included them all, with sources, so you can check every number.

Baseline assumptions: Mid-size SUV (comparable to Tesla Model Y vs petrol equivalent). 200,000 km lifetime. Australian conditions. Daytime charging column uses NSW grid data recorded at ~80–83% renewables during solar peak hours (Open Electricity NSW, 15 Mar 2026, 12:30 PM: 83.3% renewables, 204 kgCO₂e/MWh). Solar column assumes home rooftop charging during daylight hours.

What this table includes that most comparisons don't: Petrol figures include the full upstream supply chain - crude extraction, flaring, international shipping (Australia has no domestic refineries), atmospheric distillation, FCC cracking, hydrotreating, blending, wholesale distribution and last-mile tanker delivery. EV figures include battery and vehicle manufacturing carbon, solar panel embodied carbon, and a proportional share of grid wind/solar infrastructure manufacturing (already embedded in grid emission intensity figures). End-of-life recycling is included for all vehicles. All figures are estimates - methodologies vary across studies and real-world results depend on vehicle model, driving style, grid mix, charging schedule and battery chemistry. The table is intended to be directionally accurate and representative, not a precise engineering calculation.

CO₂ Source Petrol Car
(Full cradle-to-grave)
EV - Daytime Charging
(~80% Renewables, Aus Grid)
EV - 100% Rooftop Solar Notes & Sources
① MANUFACTURING PHASE - one-off costs before the car turns a wheel
Vehicle body, chassis & powertrain manufacturing ~6–8 tonnes CO₂ [1][2]
Steel, aluminium, plastics, ICE engine, gearbox, exhaust system
~5–6 tonnes CO₂ [1][2]
Similar body/chassis, but simpler electric motor vs complex ICE powertrain
~5–6 tonnes CO₂ [1][2]
Same as above - vehicle body is identical regardless of charging source
ICCT 2025: ICE vehicle manufacturing ~8t CO₂, EV body (excl. battery) ~5–6t. [1]
EV battery pack manufacturing N/A ~6–7 tonnes CO₂ [1][2]
~75–85 kgCO₂/kWh for a ~75–80kWh pack. Improving rapidly as battery factories switch to renewables.
~6–7 tonnes CO₂ [1][2]
Same battery - charging source doesn't change manufacturing footprint
Battery manufacturing is ~50% of EV's total manufacturing CO₂. Now ~75–85 kgCO₂/kWh, down from ~175 kgCO₂/kWh in 2013. [2]
Solar panels (home rooftop system, ~10kWp) N/A N/A
Grid electricity - solar/wind embodied carbon already allocated to grid mix figures below
~0.3–0.5 tonnes CO₂ (amortised) [3][4]
~41–45 gCO₂/kWh (IPCC/NREL). A 10kWp system generating ~14,000 kWh/yr for 25 years = ~580–630 kgCO₂ total manufacturing. Repaid within 1–3 years of operation. Amortised over EV charging lifetime: ~0.3–0.5t.
IPCC median: 41 gCO₂e/kWh. NREL utility-scale: 36 gCO₂e/kWh. Energy payback: 0.5–3 years. [3] [4]
Grid solar & wind infrastructure
(share allocated per EV)
N/A
Petrol infrastructure (refineries, pipelines, tankers, servo stations) not typically counted - also a large ongoing cost
~0.2–0.5 tonnes CO₂ (amortised) [5][6]
Onshore wind: 7–15 gCO₂/kWh lifetime. Utility solar: 33–50 gCO₂/kWh lifetime. Already included in the grid emission intensity figure used in operational rows below.
Negligible additional - already covered by rooftop solar row above Wind: 7–15 gCO₂/kWh (IPCC 2025). Solar: 33–50 gCO₂/kWh. Both repaid within months to 3 years. [5] [6]
Manufacturing Subtotal ~6–8 tonnes CO₂ ~12–14 tonnes CO₂
Higher upfront - but repaid within ~17,000–27,000 km
~12–14 tonnes CO₂
Same vehicle; solar panel embodied carbon is a small fraction repaid within years
EV starts with a "carbon debt" of ~4–6t over a petrol car - repaid within 1–2 years of typical Australian driving. [7]
② OPERATIONAL PHASE - every kilometre driven, over 200,000 km lifetime
Crude oil extraction & flaring ~5–8 g/km (~1.0–1.6t over 200,000km) [8][9]
Drilling, pumping, methane flaring at wellhead
Zero Zero Carbon intensity of crude varies 4–50 gCO₂eq/MJ by source. Australia imports from Middle East, US, SE Asia. [8] [9]
Crude shipping to refinery ~2–3 g/km (~0.4–0.6t over 200,000km) [8]
Tanker transport - Australia has no domestic refineries, all crude must be shipped internationally
Zero Zero Australia closed its last refineries in 2021–2022. All refined fuel is now imported - adding shipping CO₂ that domestic refiners avoided. [8]
Refinery processing
(Distillation, FCC, Hydrotreating, Blending)
~8–12 g/km (~1.6–2.4t over 200,000km) [10][11]
Atmospheric distillation, vacuum distillation, FCC cracking, hydrotreating, catalytic reforming, blending to spec. Energy-intensive processes burning ~6–10% of crude throughput as fuel.
Zero Zero Refining adds 13–19 gCO₂eq/MJ of gasoline. FCC and hydrotreating are the most carbon-intensive steps. [10] [11]
Wholesale distribution & last-mile tanker delivery ~3–5 g/km (~0.6–1.0t over 200,000km) [11]
Fuel shipped from overseas refinery to import terminal, then tanker trucks to service stations
Zero Zero Upstream WTT (Well-to-Tank) total for petrol adds approximately 18% above tailpipe figures. [11]
Tailpipe combustion CO₂ ~181 g/km (~36.2t over 200,000km) [12]
Australian average new light vehicle 2019. This is the only number most comparisons use.
Zero Zero Australian Green Vehicle Guide average. All other petrol rows above are typically omitted from standard comparisons. [12]
Electricity generation upstream CO₂
(charging emissions)
N/A ~8–15 g/km (~1.6–3.0t over 200,000km) [13][14]
Based on daytime NSW grid ~80–83% renewables, ~204 kgCO₂e/MWh emission intensity. Includes proportional share of wind/solar manufacturing embodied carbon already allocated in grid emission intensity figures.
~1–3 g/km (~0.2–0.6t over 200,000km) [3][4]
Solar panel embodied carbon (~41 gCO₂/kWh) divided across lifetime generation. Panels repay manufacturing carbon within 1–3 years. After payback: effectively zero.
Grid emission intensity includes embodied carbon of wind/solar infrastructure proportionally allocated per kWh. [13] [14]
Operational Subtotal
(200,000 km)
~39–43 tonnes CO₂
Tailpipe: 36.2t + upstream supply chain: 3–7t
~1.6–3.0 tonnes CO₂
Grid electricity upstream only - no tailpipe, no refinery, no tankers
~0.2–0.6 tonnes CO₂
Solar panel embodied carbon amortised - approaches zero after payback period
Petrol operational CO₂ is 13–25× higher than EV on 80% renewable grid. Compared to rooftop solar EV: 65–200× higher. [15]
③ END OF LIFE
Vehicle recycling / disposal ~0.3–0.5 tonnes CO₂ [2] ~0.3–0.5 tonnes CO₂ [2]
Battery recycling adds some cost but recovers valuable lithium, cobalt and nickel - reducing future mining demand
~0.3–0.5 tonnes CO₂ [2] Battery recycling is improving rapidly. Second-life battery use in home storage extends value before final recycling. [16]
GRAND TOTAL
Cradle-to-Grave
(200,000 km)
~46–52 tonnes CO₂
Manufacturing: ~7t
Tailpipe: ~36t
Upstream supply chain: ~3–7t
End of life: ~0.4t
~14–18 tonnes CO₂
Manufacturing (incl. battery): ~13t
Charging (80% renewables): ~2t
Grid infrastructure share: included in above
End of life: ~0.4t
~13–15 tonnes CO₂
Manufacturing (incl. battery): ~13t
Solar panel embodied: ~0.4t
Charging operational: ~0.3t
End of life: ~0.4t
EV on 80% renewables: ~65–73% lower lifetime CO₂ than petrol.
EV on 100% solar: ~72–75% lower.
The gap between 80% grid and 100% solar is small - most EV lifetime CO₂ is now in manufacturing, not charging.
[7]
Key insight 80%+ of lifetime CO₂ comes from burning fuel and its supply chain - permanently, every km ~80% of lifetime CO₂ is now in manufacturing. Charging emissions shrink every year as grid gets greener - automatically, without changing the car ~87–90% of lifetime CO₂ is in manufacturing. Once panels pay back their carbon (1–3 yrs), every subsequent km driven is near-zero carbon A petrol car bought today emits the same CO₂/km on its last day as its first. An EV bought today gets cleaner every year as Australia adds more renewables.
④ OTHER EMISSIONS - non-CO₂ air quality impacts
NOx (Nitrogen Oxides) High - regulated, Euro 5 [12] Zero tailpipe Zero tailpipe Major contributor to urban smog and respiratory disease. Zero from EV drivetrain at street level.
Carbon Monoxide (CO) Present - regulated Zero tailpipe Zero tailpipe Produced by incomplete combustion. Toxic at elevated concentrations.
Hydrocarbons / VOCs Present - regulated Zero tailpipe Zero tailpipe Contribute to ground-level ozone and smog.
Exhaust PM2.5 particulates Present from combustion Zero tailpipe Zero tailpipe Linked to lung disease, cardiovascular disease and premature death in urban areas.
Tyre & brake dust particulates Present Similar tyre dust; significantly less brake dust [17] Similar tyre dust; significantly less brake dust [17] Honest caveat: EVs are heavier, marginally increasing tyre wear particulates. However regenerative braking dramatically reduces brake dust - brakes are rarely used hard. [17]
Sources:
EV Fires in Australia - What the Data Actually Shows

Few EV myths are more persistent than the idea that electric cars are ticking fire bombs. It makes headlines every time it happens - because it is rare enough to be newsworthy. Here is what the verified Australian and international data actually shows.

The Australian Numbers

As of January 2025, Australia's Vehicle Emissions Star Rating authority records just 10 confirmed EV battery fires in Australia involving road-registered passenger vehicles in normal use. Of those 10:

In other words: of 10 total verified EV fires in Australia across the entire history of EVs here, zero were spontaneous battery failures during normal driving or parked charging in the open. The Australian Government's own energy department recorded 12 EV battery fires as of October 2025 - consistent with the same picture.

Compare that to petrol cars. Fire and Rescue NSW recorded 2,803 internal combustion vehicle fires in NSW alone in the 2022–23 financial year. That is one state, one year. Against roughly 10 verified EV fires across the whole country across the entire history of EVs in Australia.

Global Context
Metric Electric Vehicles Petrol / Diesel Vehicles Source
Verified fires in Australia
(all time to Oct 2025)
12 (road-registered passenger EVs) 2,803 in NSW alone in 2022–23 energy.gov.au / Qld Treasury
Estimated fire rate ~0.001–0.002% of EVs ~0.1% of ICE vehicles Swinburne University / EV FireSafe
Relative fire risk Baseline 20 to 80× more likely to catch fire Electric Vehicle Council Australia / Swinburne University
Verified global EV battery fires
(2010 to June 2024)
511 verified - out of ~40 million EVs on the road Not tracked globally - far too numerous to count EV FireSafe / Electric Vehicle Council
Sweden 2022
(controlled national data)
23 EV fires from 611,000 EVs (0.004%) 3,400 fires from 4.4 million ICE vehicles (0.077%) Swedish Civil Contingencies Agency via Qld Treasury
Norway 2022
(world's highest EV penetration)
0.005% fire rate for EVs 0.03% fire rate for ICE vehicles - 6× higher Norwegian Fire Service via VESR
Poland 2020–2025
(51,142 total vehicle fires)
87 EV fires (0.17% of all vehicle fires) 50,833 ICE fires (99.39% of all vehicle fires) Polish State Fire Service via Interesting Engineering
Global fire rate estimate
(per 100,000 vehicles)
~25 fires per 100,000 EVs ~1,530 fires per 100,000 ICE vehicles BlazeStack - EV Fire Data 2024–2025
The Honest Caveat - When EV Fires Do Happen

The data is clear that EV fires are far rarer than petrol fires. But it is also honest to acknowledge that when an EV battery does catch fire, it presents different challenges for emergency services. Lithium battery fires burn at extremely high temperatures, can last for extended periods, and carry a risk of reignition even after the visible fire appears to be out. They can also emit toxic gases during combustion. Fire services across Australia, including Fire and Rescue NSW, have developed specific EV fire response protocols and training programs to handle this.

It is also worth noting that e-bikes and e-scooters - often using cheaper, lower-quality lithium cells without the thermal management systems found in EVs - have a significantly higher fire rate than passenger electric cars. These are a separate category and should not be conflated with EV car safety statistics.

Why Does It Feel Like EVs Catch Fire All the Time?

Because confirmation bias and media attention work together. When a petrol car burns at the side of the road - which happens multiple times a day across Australia - it rarely makes the news. When an EV catches fire anywhere in the country, it is likely to generate national coverage. The Electric Vehicle Council notes this directly: EVs are a new technology and EV fires attract disproportionate attention relative to their actual frequency.

The data does not lie. In Australia, you are statistically far safer from a fire risk in an EV than in a petrol car. The FUD around EV fires is one of the most well-documented and consistently refuted myths in the space - and it has been refuted not by EV advocates, but by fire services, government agencies, and independent researchers across multiple countries.

Sources:
Vehicle Emissions Star Rating (VESR) - EV Fire Safety in Australia. 10 verified Australian EV fires to January 2025, breakdown by cause.
Australian Government energy.gov.au - Electric Vehicle Facts. 12 EV battery fires recorded to October 2025.
Electric Vehicle Council Australia - Are EV Fires Common? 6 verified Australian EV fires to June 2024. 511 verified globally 2010–2024. EVs 20× less likely to catch fire than petrol/diesel (Sweden data).
Queensland Treasury - Electric Vehicles Fact Check. 2,803 ICE vehicle fires in NSW alone in 2022–23. Sweden: 23 EV fires vs 3,400 ICE fires in 2022.
Swinburne University - EV Fire Risk Analysis. Fire risk 20–80× greater for petrol/diesel vehicles. EV fire rate 0.0012%, ICE fire rate ~0.1%.
EV Fire Solutions Australia - EV Fire Safety 2025. Poland: EVs 0.17% of all vehicle fires; ICE 99.39%. Globally ~1 EV fire per 100,000 vehicles.
Interesting Engineering - Do EVs Really Catch Fire More? EV fire risk 0.001–0.002% vs ICE ~0.1%. Poland 2020–2025: 87 EV fires vs 50,833 ICE fires.
Fire and Rescue NSW - EV and EV Charging Equipment Fire Safety Position Paper.


EV Fires in Australia - What the Data Actually Shows

Few EV myths are more persistent than the idea that electric cars are ticking fire bombs. It makes headlines every time it happens - because it is rare enough to be newsworthy. Here is what the verified Australian and international data actually shows.

The Australian Numbers

As of January 2025, Australia's Vehicle Emissions Star Rating authority records just 10 confirmed EV battery fires in Australia involving road-registered passenger vehicles in normal use. Of those 10:

In other words: of 10 total verified EV fires in Australia across the entire history of EVs here, zero were spontaneous battery failures during normal driving or parked charging in the open. The Australian Government's own energy department recorded 12 EV battery fires as of October 2025 - consistent with the same picture.

Compare that to petrol cars. Fire and Rescue NSW recorded 2,803 internal combustion vehicle fires in NSW alone in the 2022–23 financial year. That is one state, one year. Against roughly 10 verified EV fires across the whole country across the entire history of EVs in Australia.

Global Context

Metric Electric Vehicles Petrol / Diesel Vehicles Source
Verified fires in Australia
(all time to Oct 2025)
12 (road-registered passenger EVs) 2,803 in NSW alone in 2022–23 energy.gov.au / Qld Treasury
Estimated fire rate ~0.001–0.002% of EVs ~0.1% of ICE vehicles Swinburne University / EV FireSafe
Relative fire risk Baseline 20 to 80× more likely to catch fire Electric Vehicle Council Australia / Swinburne University
Verified global EV battery fires
(2010 to June 2024)
511 verified - out of ~40 million EVs on the road Not tracked globally - far too numerous to count EV FireSafe / Electric Vehicle Council
Sweden 2022
(controlled national data)
23 EV fires from 611,000 EVs (0.004%) 3,400 fires from 4.4 million ICE vehicles (0.077%) Swedish Civil Contingencies Agency via Qld Treasury
Norway 2022
(world's highest EV penetration)
0.005% fire rate for EVs 0.03% fire rate for ICE vehicles - 6× higher Norwegian Fire Service via VESR
Poland 2020–2025
(51,142 total vehicle fires)
87 EV fires (0.17% of all vehicle fires) 50,833 ICE fires (99.39% of all vehicle fires) Polish State Fire Service via Interesting Engineering
Global fire rate estimate
(per 100,000 vehicles)
~25 fires per 100,000 EVs ~1,530 fires per 100,000 ICE vehicles BlazeStack - EV Fire Data 2024–2025

When EV Fires Do Happen

The data is clear that EV fires are far rarer than petrol fires. But it is also honest to acknowledge that when an EV battery does catch fire, it presents different challenges for emergency services. Lithium battery fires burn at extremely high temperatures, can last for extended periods, and carry a risk of reignition even after the visible fire appears to be out. They can also emit toxic gases during combustion. Fire services across Australia, including Fire and Rescue NSW, have developed specific EV fire response protocols and training programs to handle this.

It is also worth noting that e-bikes and e-scooters - often using cheaper, lower-quality lithium cells without the thermal management systems found in EVs - have a significantly higher fire rate than passenger electric cars. These are a separate category and should not be conflated with EV car safety statistics.

When people hear "lithium battery fire" they often picture an EV — but the fires making headlines are far more likely to involve an e-scooter, a cheap power bank or an uncertified phone charger than a car. Passenger EVs carry sophisticated Battery Management Systems that monitor every cell in real time, manage heat with active liquid cooling loops, and cut power the moment something looks wrong. Your iPhone has some of this. A $200 scooter from a discount catalogue very likely does not.

Why Does It Feel Like EVs Catch Fire All the Time?

Because confirmation bias and media attention work together. When a petrol car burns at the side of the road - which happens multiple times a day across Australia - it rarely makes the news. When an EV catches fire anywhere in the country, it is likely to generate national coverage. The Electric Vehicle Council notes this directly: EVs are a new technology and EV fires attract disproportionate attention relative to their actual frequency.

The data does not lie. In Australia, you are statistically far safer from a fire risk in an EV than in a petrol car. The FUD around EV fires is one of the most well-documented and consistently refuted myths in the space - and it has been refuted not by EV advocates, but by fire services, government agencies, and independent researchers across multiple countries.

Sources:

TLDR = Too Long, Did Not Read

An EV is a car that gets you from A to B. Is very chaep to charge and maintain. You will exchange the convenience of paying for expensive petrol delivered fast to waiting to charge for cheap.

An EV is 90% less complex than an Internal Combustion Engine and not reliant on world Oil Flow. More of the money you spend on Electricity to charge stays in Australia compared to Petrol.

Meme

Live Australia Grid Supply and Demand Chart

View the live Australian Energy Market Operator (AEMO) live Electricity Price per MW here: https://aemo.com.au/

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